Monday, July 06, 2009

US Car Dealers Still Aren't Getting It

The New York Post did an investigative report to see whether car dealers get the dire situation they're facing. Which dealers would give them the best deals? Chevy and Ford dealers clearly aren't getting the memo, even as Toyota, VW, and Honda all see the benefit of moving cars off their lots.

The Post recently haggled at five city dealerships -- GM, Ford, Toyota, Honda and VW -- looking to land the best deal for a fully loaded, mid-size sedan.

In each case, there was an offer to put $5,000 down, with the understanding that the buyer had excellent credit and wanted to finance the vehicle for five years.

At the domestic dealerships, there was plenty of "Buy American" rhetoric -- with some dealers sounding more like they were running for office than revving their engines for a sale.

"We need to keep jobs in America -- especially in this economy," said a saleswoman at a Brooklyn Chevrolet dealership.

"If you want to give GM a chance -- if you want to give America a chance -- the Chevy Malibu is the car to do it."

The saleswoman -- who spoke with increasing degrees of desperation as the negotiations went on -- said Detroit was getting a bad rap.

"Honda and Toyota are struggling financially just as much as GM. They are as much in danger as we are," she insisted.

"GM has made a lot of mistakes, no question, but we're here to stay."

Still, when it came right down to it, she and her counterparts were hardly ready to give away merchandise, making hunting for a new car no less murky or unpleasant than it has been.

GM is offering zero percent financing for up to five years and extended power-train warranties, the saleswoman said.

But after touting the Malibu's V6 engine and design "with a family in mind," she insisted she could not afford to take more than $889 off the $27,665 sticker price without "losing money" on the deal.

By comparison, at the Queens Honda dealership, there was less sales pitch -- and more price slashing.

The salesman offered to cut $4,075 off the price of a $27,075 Accord, and even with a 3.9 percent interest rate, it seemed a far better deal than the Malibu.

At a Manhattan Ford dealer, a salesman tried steering us from the Taurus to a 2009 Mercury Sable.
Zero percent financing isn't sufficient to make a good car deal, not when Toyota or Honda are willing to take thousands off the sticker price and offer 3.9% financing. Not only do they have better resale values, but they're going to hold up against depreciation far better than automakers who may not be in the same shape just a few months from now.

This chart doesn't totally tell the picture. What you need to know is the full cost of the vehicle after all costs and the down payments are figured in.

The Mercury Sable will cost $33,140 after figuring the down payment plus the 60 month term.

The Honda Accord comes in at $26,960 after figuring the down payment plus the 60 month term. The Passat was $29,000. The Chevy Malibu came in at $29,000. The Camry came in at $30,680. Clearly, the Sable is the biggest loser of the bunch, as why would anyone want to spend that kind of money when they could get an Accord for nearly $6,000 less. The Malibu actually makes a respectable showing here based on this metric. The problem is that the Passat, Toyota, and Honda are all typically found for thousands more. That the Malibu is competing directly in this fashion leads to unflattering comparisons.

If you're going to choose between a Toyota Camry or a Malibu, what do you think people are going to do? They're going to choose the vehicle that they think is the better bargain; the Accord or the Passat.

Dealers are in a real bad position since they're going to be stuck with inventory that isn't moving, so they've got to figure out a way to move their inventories. It seems that the foreign automaker dealerships have decided that aggressively trimming prices is the way to go. The zero percent financing isn't having the intended effect.


Sunday, July 05, 2009

Iran Continues Crackdown Including Executing Captured Protesters

There have been multiple reports over the past week that the Iranian regime has been arrested, convicting, and executing protesters who are standing up to protest the stolen election.

This latest report gives the most detail to date:

The state-run Fars news agency reported that 20 people were hanged at the Karaj prison west of the capital on Saturday, and another 14 executions elsewhere in Iran have been reported by state media since Wednesday, including six hangings at Teheran's Evin Prison. Many of those executed have been described in state media as drug traffickers - a charge often leveled at dissidents.

Iranian police say that about 1,000 people have been detained for involvement in the public protests that erupted after June 12 presidential elections.

Mir Hossein Mousavi, the defeated candidate who has branded the victory of incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad fraudulent, has been laying low since last Wednesday while still challenging the results.
Ahmadinejad and Khamenei are busy trying to spin the election debacle as though the protests are the result of foreign interference, including claims that Mousavi was a US agent.

That's a most interesting claim, given that Khamenei himself has to sign off on all the candidates that run for office. Mousavi was one of the hand-picked candidates for President, and Khamenei and the Guardian Council have to agree to their credentials. Also, as Supreme Ayatollah, Khamenei is supposed to be infalliable. So, how is it that all of a sudden he's totally wrong about Mousavi?

People out on the streets in the vicinity of protests are also subject to arrest, search, and seizure. The Basij are looking for people who have cellphones with images or video of the demonstrations - and the ensuing crackdowns. They don't want people to see the truth.

Meanwhile, a group of clerics, the Assembly of Qom Seminary Scholars and Researchers, has ruled the election invalid, setting up a confrontation with Khamenei, Ahmadinejad, and their fellow mullahs. The group claims that the Guardian Council no longer has the authority to rule in such matters.

That's in addition to the regime's attacks on employees working at the British Embassy and foreign journalists:
On Saturday, former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani said that post-election events had caused bitterness.

Britain said one of two UK embassy employees detained for "inciting protests" would be released.

Hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets in the aftermath of the poll to protest at what they alleged was a fraudulent election.

The protests died down after the authorities deployed lethal force, killing at least 20 demonstrators. More than 1,000 were arrested.

On Sunday, state news agency Irna quoted Iran's police chief as saying about two-thirds of those arrested had been released.

The authorities have blamed the West, in particular the UK, for fomenting the unrest through the use of the media, including BBC Persian television which broadcasts to the country via satellite.

The head of Iran's judiciary, Ayatollah Mahmoud Hashemi-Shahroudi, has said "those who co-operate with such websites and television channels will face prosecution".

On Sunday, Iran's foreign ministry said a British-Greek journalist working for The Washington Times - who had been arrested in connection with "recent street riots" - had been released.


Saturday, July 04, 2009

North Korean Fires Seven Missiles In Defiance

You have to hand it to the North Koreans. They certainly know how to throw a tantrum when people's attentions are cast elsewhere. The North Koreans had been warning that they would fire missiles in the direction of Hawaii, and while they did fire seven missiles, none were long range missiles with the capacity to hit Hawaii.

The launches, which came two days after North Korea fired four short-range cruise missiles, will likely further escalate tensions in the region as the U.S. tries to muster support for tough enforcement of the latest U.N. Security Council resolution imposed on the communist regime for its May nuclear test.

A senior State Department official told FOX News there is "no reason to doubt these reports we're all seeing."

South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff said three missiles were fired early Saturday, a fourth around noon and three more in the afternoon. The Defense Ministry said that the missiles were ballistic and are believed to have flown more than 250 miles.

"Our military is fully ready to counter any North Korean threats and provocations based on strong South Korea-U.S. combined defense posture," the Joint Chiefs of Staff said in a statement.

South Korea's Yonhap news agency quoted military officials as saying the missiles appeared to be a type of Scud missile. North Korea's Scuds are considered short-range, the South's military said.
All of the missile launches are in violation of UN Security Council resolutions, but as we've repeatedly seen, North Korea couldn't care less about the UN or resolutions. They seek the rest of the world as weak and incapable of mounting a credible response.


Happy Independence Day


By dawn's early light... Old Glory was spotted by Francis Scott Key when he penned the instant classic, Star Spangled Banner.

The flag in the picture above is the smaller replica of the flag that flew over Fort McHenry in Baltimore harbor.

Happy Independence Day!


 


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