Saturday, December 06, 2008

Obama's Latest Grand Plan: Massive Public Works Projects

It's been done before. It was called the WPA, CCC, and TVA (among other alphabet agencies spawned by FDR's New Deal.

The problem is that we aren't facing 30% unemployment and much of the nation already has been built out with infrastructure. The problem is that we've been borrowing to pay for the upkeep on existing infrastructure and no one has any money to pay to maintain it, the federal government included. Throwing billions more at transportation projects around the nation isn't going to create new jobs - it's going to keep those already in the construction industry busy. It's going to keep the unions busy.

A transportation stimulus package will not create new jobs in other industries, and will further spend money that the nation simply doesn't have.

President-elect Barack Obama said Saturday he's asked his economic team for a recovery plan that saves or creates more than 2 million jobs, makes public buildings more energy-efficient and invests in the country's roads and schools.

"We won't just throw money at the problem," Obama said in his weekly radio address and Internet video. "We'll measure progress by the reforms we make and the results we achieve — by the jobs we create, by the energy we save, by whether America is more competitive in the world."

Obama's remarks come after the Labor Department announced Friday that employers cut 533,000 jobs in November, the most in 34 years.
He wants to spend billions to make government buildings more efficient. Try closing a few. Federal spending is out of control, and making government buildings more energy efficient sounds great in principle, but isn't that something that should already be included in operational and maintenance budgets? Replacing incandescent bulbs with CFLs isn't exactly rocket science, and the savings would be considerable across the entire government. We don't need a massive infusion of billions of dollars to do that. We need common sense from building operators throughout the country to do it.

The idea of spending billions to upgrade the transportation infrastructure again sounds like a great idea, but what exactly are we talking about? Are we going to completely redo the FAA's computer systems to enable GPS positioning and advanced ground control so that planes can fly closer together and no longer need to be confined to traffic corridors that are maxed out, especially during peak periods? Does it mean billions spent to upgrade Amtrak's Northeast Corridor to enable Acela to actually run at the high speeds that it was originally intended to do - about 140 mph, which would substantially cut down on congestion in the Northeast and possibly provide Amtrak with a route that actually makes money over the long run?

Does it mean rebuilding bridges and tunnels in places that actually need them rather than building stuff for the sake of building them?

New York City could use a new freight rail tunnel between New Jersey and Brooklyn to relieve congestion along its existing bridges and tunnels because there is only one circuitous rail route off Long Island, and the failure to build a rail tunnel has doomed millions of people to unending congestion and increased traffic and transit costs as a result of delays and traffic. The City could also use federal funds to complete the full length of the Second Avenue line, rather than just the section already under construction. It too would relieve congestion and spur economic development.

In Chicago, much of that city's famous elevated subway is in dire need of replacement and reconstruction because the city has mismanaged its resources and shirked its responsibility to maintain the system.

The aforementioned projects would benefit the largest number of people, but they're also among the most costly propositions, in the tens of billions of dollars if work started today.

Obama wants to upgrade schools, which again sounds great in theory, but the practice has been anything but successful. New Jersey's example is a textbook example of a disaster. Billions spent on schools and a fraction of the projects were completed. Corruption, graft, and broken promises were the hallmark of the New Jersey experience. There's no reason to believe that the federal government would do any better.

If anything, billions would be consumed by the federal government bureaucracy and never find its way into actually getting anything done. Jobs may be created, but they're not ones that are in the private sector; it would be growth in government jobs that become nearly impossible to cut since they have the power of the unions backing them.

Wizbang has more on Obama's proposals and criticizes its lack of focus on power generation and transmission. Ed Morrissey slams Obama's transportation proposals as not only unaffordable, but makes mincemeat of Eisenhower's intentions when setting up the Interstate highway system. It wasn't a jobs program that spurred Eisenhower to build the Interstate highways; it was national defense.

Now, perhaps Obama is using the jobs program as a way to get people to spend money in a roundabout way to improve the nation's ability to send equipment and materials in case of disasters (and that's actually a sound reason to upgrade transportation systems nationwide given failures in hurricanes and other natural disasters), but there's no reason to think that Obama thinks in those terms. To Obama, this is strictly a jobs program.

Zimbabwean Misery Continues

You have to give Robert Mugabe credit for being consistent. He consistently seeks to destroy the Zimbabwean people with his insane leftist agenda that has completely destroyed the economy and devastated the infrastructure of the country to the point that we're now seeing a major cholera epidemic taking hold not only in Zimbabwe, but in neighboring countries where Zimbabweans are seeking treatment. Nearly 600 are dead and tens of thousands are suffering from the effects of cholera, and the situation will only get worse unless and until Mugabe is sent packing:
Cholera, a water-borne disease, is on the increase in nine of Zimbabwe's 10 provinces, the U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) warned. It blamed "poor water and sanitation supply, a collapsed health system and limited government capacity to respond to the emergency."

Many of those afflicted with the disease have fled to neighboring countries to seek medical health -- which risks spreading the outbreak still further.

Brown called on the international community to tell Mugabe "enough is enough," and suggested that the United Nations Security Council meet to discuss the issue.

He added that the most pressing issue was to ensure that testing and rehydration equipment and packs reach the right people, as well as for aid agencies to set up a organizational structure in the state capital Harare to confront the disease.

"The people of Zimbabwe voted for a better future. It is our duty to support that aspiration," Brown added.

Brown's comments came one day after U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said that the outbreak is the latest sign that Mugabe's rule over the country must end.

"It's well past time for Robert Mugabe to leave. I think that's now obvious," Rice said during a visit to Denmark.
It was obvious for years that Mugabe has destroyed the nation of Zimbabwe. We're reaching the point where Mugabe's destructive and corrosive policies are seriously affecting Zimbabwe's neighbors and Mugabe's insistence on holding on to power at all costs is costing Zimbabweans dearly.

His economic policies have led to hyperinflation - 231 million percent. The Zimbabwean central bank has fired several executives claiming that they were engaging in illicit currency trading.
The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe has been unable to print money fast enough to keep up with soaring prices, which double every 24 hours, and has tried to stamp out a thriving black market for U.S. dollars and other foreign currencies.

This week it dismissed the chief executives and senior managers at four banks, state media reported, saying they diverted large sums of Zimbabwean dollars to the black market before the notes were introduced.

"This is criminal because the money was not yet legal tender when it was released," central bank Governor Gideon Gono was quoted as saying in the Herald newspaper, adding the executives faced prosecution.

Refering to past media reports that suggested the central bank itself had in the past purchased foreign currency from the black market, Gono said: "We are sick and tired of being labelled crooks."
The situation is such that it is probably better to consider that Zimbabwe doesn't have a functioning currency in place at all. It certainly doesn't have a functioning economy, thanks to Mugabe.

Monopoly money has more value than the Zimbabwean currency.

All the reports about talks between Mugabe's people and the opposition party led by Morgan Tsvangirai have led nowhere, and Mugabe continues push the country deeper into crisis.

Friday, December 05, 2008

Meme of the Day: 100 Things Done in a Lifetime

One hundred things done, or should be done in a lifetime. This is one of those posts that works for a weekend or when news gets slow, and today just seems like the time to post it:

1. Started your own blog: I was busy blogging before blogging was called blogging. And this particular blog has been growing since 2005.

2. Slept under the stars: Several times, but the most memorable being in Israel in the summer of 1993.

3. Played in a band: Nope, but does chorus count?

4. Visited Hawaii: It's on a list of places to go.

5. Watched a meteor shower: Many times, the most recent of which was at Bryce Canyon National Park.

6. Given more than you can afford to charity: I wish I could say yes, but that just isn't true. It is my intention to one day to do all that and more.

7. Been to Disneyland: Winter 1999.

8. Climbed a mountain: Several, including in Israel.

9. Held a praying mantis: Yes, once. Don't intend to do that again.

10. Sang a solo: Nope, just good backup singing in chorus.

11. Bungee jumped: Why would someone want to jump off a perfectly stable structure and put their life in the hands of a rope?

12. Visited Paris: Absolutely, and I've got the pictures to prove it. And here, here, and here.

13. Watched a lightning storm at sea: Nope, but I've watched them from airplanes on several occasions. Nothing quite like watching nature in all its glory.

14. Taught yourself an art from scratch: I draw and paint, so I guess that came naturally.

15. Adopted a child: Nope.

16. Had food poisoning: Thankfully not that I can recall.

17. Walked to the top of the Statue of Liberty: Sure did back when they had it open to visitors. Today folks don't get nearly the same experience that they once did walking up the spiral staircase to peer out from the Lady Liberty's crown.

18. Grown your own vegetables: Green thumb means veggies galore.

19. Seen the Mona Lisa in France: Underwhelmed. It's such a tiny painting surrounded by tremendous crowds. I think the mysteriousness of the smile is what does it. The Louvre has so many other wonderous artifacts and paintings that the Mona Lisa isn't even top 5.

20. Slept on an overnight train: They have 'em in the States?

21. Had a pillow fight: Sure, who hasn't.

22. Hitchhiked: Why hitchhike when you can rent a car on your own, and it's much safer?

23. Taken a sick day when you’re not ill: Who hasn't?

24. Built a snow fort: Back in the day before global warming.

25. Held a lamb: Lamb chops and rack of lamb, sure? Oh, you mean while the lamb was alive?

26. Gone skinny dipping: Can't say that I have.

27. Run a marathon: Watching a marathon is hard enough work. No.

28. Ridden in a gondola in Venice: It's on my list of things to do.

29. Seen a total eclipse: I have, and it was quite memorable.

30. Watched a sunrise or sunset: Quite often, but the most memorable is sunrise and sunsets in Key West and sunrise over the Dead Sea as seen from Masada.

31. Hit a home run: Who hasn't?

32. Been on a cruise: I'm working on that.

33. Seen Niagara Falls in person: Sure have, and it's majesty doesn't come through pictures because of the sheer energy that you feel just standing next to them.

34. Visited the birthplace of your ancestors

35. Seen an Amish community: Lancaster County, PA.

36. Taught yourself a new language: French, but that doesn't mean I speak it very well.

37. Had enough money to be truly satisfied

38. Seen the Leaning Tower of Pisa in person

39. Gone rock climbing: [added] Yes. Actually, it was rappelling, not rock climbing.

40. Seen Michelangelo’s David: Only in H.W. Jansen's History of Art.

41. Sung karaoke: I have the right to remain silent.

42. Seen Old Faithful geyser erupt: It's on my list of things to do and see.

43. Bought a stranger a meal at a restaurant: Nope.

44. Visited Africa: Nope, but there are a few places I'd like to see - the rolling savannas and Mt. Kilimanjaro being but two.

45. Walked on a beach by moonlight: Who hasn't?

46. Been transported in an ambulance: Unfortunately, yes.

47. Had your portrait painted: Nope.

48. Gone deep sea fishing: No.

49. Seen the Sistine Chapel in person: It's on my list of things to do.

50. Been to the top of the Eiffel Tower in Paris: And I have the pictures to prove it.

51. Gone SCUBA diving or snorkeling: Sounds like fun.

52. Kissed in the rain: You don't know what you're missing if you haven't.

53. Played in the mud: See 52.

54. Gone to a drive-in theater: See 52.

55. Been in a movie: I've seen a few being made but haven't been in any that I know of.

56. Visited the Great Wall of China: It's on my list.

57. Started a business: I did, and I profited from the experience.

58. Taken a martial arts class: Nope, but there are times I wish I had.

59. Visited Russia: It's not on my bucket list.

60. Served at a soup kitchen: No.

61. Sold Girl Scout Cookies: I guess eating them doesn't count.

62. Gone whale watching: Believe it or not, I was able to go whale watching from the shore at Bodega Bay in California. We were on a cliff overlooking the bay and I noticed a bunch of whales close ashore surfacing occasionally. It was very cool.

63. Got flowers for no reason: Haven't received them, but I have given them.

64. Donated blood, platelets or plasma: Does getting into fights count?

65. Gone sky diving: What? And jump out of a perfectly good aircraft?

66. Visited a Nazi concentration camp: I think it's something everyone should do - if only to remember that Never Again really should mean Never Again.

67. Bounced a check: Not on your life.

68. Flown in a helicopter: Nope. I did sit in one as a kid though.

69. Saved a favorite childhood toy: Where's that Curious George?

70. Visited the Lincoln Memorial: Sure have, on several occasions.

71. Eaten caviar: I sure have.

72. Pieced a quilt: I can mend a seam and fix a button, but anything more complicated than that, and I'm calling a tailor.

73. Stood in Times Square: I work in New York City and used to live there; what do you think?

74. Toured the Everglades: And I have the pictures to prove it. I also had the mosquito bites to prove it when walking along the Aninga Trail.

75. Been fired from a job: Nope.

76. Seen the Changing of the Guards in London: Sounds like fun.

77. Broken a bone: Elbow.

78. Been on a speeding motorcycle: Nope.

79. Seen the Grand Canyon in person: And I have the pictures to prove it.

80. Published a book: I haven't, although more than a few people have suggested that I do so.

81. Visited the Vatican: If I want to see the Sistine Chapel, I guess I'd have to do that, but it's not on my list.

82. Bought a brand new car: Sure did. Also bought a used car, which was my first real big purchase.

83. Walked in Jerusalem: I lived there for six weeks, and I can recall every moment there with vivid recollection. Oh, and I have the pictures to prove it.

84. Had your picture in the newspaper: Yes, but I'm not saying where or when.

85. Read the entire Bible: Sunday school to the rescue!

86. Visited the White House: I've stood in front of it, but haven't stepped inside.

87. Killed and prepared an animal for eating

88. Had chickenpox: Yes, and I wouldn't wish it on anyone.

89. Saved someone’s life: I have, and it was a most gratifying experiences.

90. Sat on a jury: Nope, but I've been on jury duty once.

91. Met someone famous: Emerson, Lake, and Palmer. Constantine Maroulis. Sofia Milos. Ernie Anastos. John Aniston (Jennifer's dad). Curtis Sliwa. And too many New York politicians to count, starting with George Pataki, David Paterson, Ed Koch, and Chuck Schumer to name but three.

92. Joined a book club: Nope.

93. Lost a loved one: Yes.

94. Had a baby: No.

95. Seen the Alamo in person: No.

96. Swam in the Great Salt Lake: I'll see the Great Salt Lake, and raise you the Dead Sea.

97. Been involved in a law suit: Yes.

98. Owned a cell phone: If that a joke? Can you hear me now?

99. Been stung by a bee: Ouch!

100. Read an entire book in one day: Too many to recall.


HT: Jim at Parkway Rest Stop

F That!

What is it with schools and teachers these days? It used to be that grading was on a A-F scale, F being a fail, or Satisfactory, Marginal, Fail/Unsatisfactory.

Now, someone in academia has the bright idea of treating Fail as a dirty word and wants to use H instead.
At public schools in Grand Rapids, Mich., high school students will no longer receive "F"s but instead will earn the letter "H" when their work falls woefully short.

Superintendent Bernard Taylor told ABCNews.com that the "H" stands for "held," and is a system designed to give students a second chance on work that was not up to par.

"I never see anyone doing anything but punishing kids," said Taylor. "If the choice is between letting kids fail and giving them another opportunity to succeed, I'm going to err on the side of opportunity."
It's nonsense.

Semantics doesn't absolve the student of not making the grade. They failed. Why treat it as something different.

Cash in the Family

Rep. Charles Rangel continues to show that he is tone deaf to swirling charges of ethical impropriety and legal troubles.

The latest problem for the Harlem Democrat? He steered a lucrative contract for designing and maintaining a poorly designed website to his son's company that should have cost a fraction of that amount.
Between 2004 and 2007, Rep. Charles Rangel steered nearly $80,000 in campaign cash to an Internet company run by his son – paying lavishly for a pair of political Web sites so poorly designed an expert estimated one should have cost no more than $100 to create.

The payments are apparently legal under federal law, but their disclosure raises new questions about the Ways and Means chairman as he faces House ethics committee probes into his failure to pay taxes on rental income and his alleged use of House stationery to solicit contributions for a public policy center that bears his name.

Rangel’s leadership PAC and congressional committee shelled out $79,560 to Edisonian Innovative Works LLC for “websites,” according to Federal Election Commission filings.

Edisonian Innovative Works, which lists several clients on its homepage – none of them politicians — was founded by Rangel’s son, Steven Charles Rangel, 40, of Greenbelt, Md.
Expect Rangel to complain that he's being smeared by the media and that the website served its purpose and was worth the money. Rangel has already attempted to push back at the New York Times report about his involvement with lobbyists for a retroactive tax break.

What's curious is that Steven Rangel went from that job to another highly lucrative position with another House Committee:
Rep. Rangel's spokesman, Emile Milne, said Steven was a valuable member of the re-election team and was paid a modest monthly retainer to build, maintain, update and publicize the sites.

Payments to Steven began in mid-2004 and stopped in early 2007 when he was hired by the House Energy and Commerce Committee as an $80,000-a-year "investigative counsel," according to records.
Given the way that ethics and Rangel can't be said in the same sentence without laughing, one ought to be asking questions about whether Steven Rangel received any preferential treatment for that House Committee position based on who his father was.

Devil In Details On MTA Tax and Spend Plan

A few figures provided by the MTA should give everyone pause about just how much money can be raised by the tolling of the Harlem River and East River bridges.

The MTA claims that $1 billion per year will be raised, but $400 million will be needed for the infrastructure to make that happen, leaving $600 in actual money for capital projects.

That's an appallingly low amount of money from the project. And I suspect that the problem is even worse than that.

Since when has the MTA ever budgeted for anything and come in on budget or on time? They haven't.

They are years behind on the Fulton Street Transit Hub, and don't have any money to complete the aboveground portion. They were off by billions of dollars.

How exactly can anyone at the MTA say with a straight face that the installation of E-ZPass to impose tolls on the bridges will go smoothly or at the cost predicted?

Perhaps we should take the NJ lesson to heart, when NJ officials repeatedly claimed that E-ZPass would cost far less to install than it eventually did, and computer problems have repeatedly driven up costs for operation. New Jersey had to impose a monthly fee because of all the problems with the system. The computers took years to debug and cost tens of millions more than originally estimated. Enforcement also proved to be a bigger problem than ever expected, which means that no one should ever expect this system to bring in the revenues that are estimated. In fact, in 2002, New Jersey was forced to institute monthly fees because instead of being self sufficient, E-ZPass ended up with a $469 million deficit:
In addition to recurring operational problems, E-ZPass is on the verge of bankruptcy. The financial scheme put in place by the previous administration was not sound. It was not only supposed to pay for the installation and operation of the system, it was going to generate a $34 million in excess revenue. Instead of turning a profit, E-ZPass is mired with a $469 million deficit.

To begin to pay down the debt, a monthly fee of $1 per account will be instituted. This fee will be dedicated to reducing the E-ZPass debt and instituting improvements such as high speed E-ZPass. In addition, the two-cent and nickel discounts on the Garden State Parkway have been eliminated because they were not having enough impact on reducing congestion to justify its annual cost of $13 million. Discounts on the Turnpike and the Atlantic City Expressway will remain in place.
All the grandiose claims about the E-ZPass system were overblown, although dwell time at toll plazas is definitely reduced when a driver uses E-ZPass since drivers do not have to slow down to pay tolls. Building new tolls, however will increase congestion and cause more problems than anyone is willing to admit.

In many ways, the tolling of the bridges will be yet another attempt to impose congestion pricing on commuters, and it suffers all of the problems involved in congestion pricing, including a lack of transportation alternatives that can accommodate anyone shifting from driving to riding mass transit. It also suffers from increased traffic on bridges and tunnels and will create still more bureaucracy that diverts money from going into the very infrastructure in need of repair and upkeep.

Nicole Gelinas slices and dices the MTA's proposals and finds them wanting, particularly the payroll tax increases, which are guaranteed to reduce economic activity in the City, reduce payrolls and send jobs out of the region. Taxing payrolls kills jobs.

Then there are the regulatory and legal hurdles in the proposal, including the transfer of city-owned bridges and tunnels to the MTA, a public authority that has repeatedly shown itself to be incapable of handling its existing obligations and whose revenue forecasts and capital programs are in dire need of auditing to determine where exactly all the money is going.

Yet, Gov. Paterson and the MTA think that taxing commuters and businesses is actually going to increase revenues and generate jobs?
Ravitch and Paterson both billed the recommendations as a massive stimulus package that would pump billions of dollars annually into the state's staggering economy.

The payroll tax alone would generate $1.5 billion a year, which could be used to fund the MTA's next five-year capital construction plan totaling $25 billion to $30 billion, officials said.
How exactly is this a stimulus for anyone other than a few unions directly involved in the construction projects - sandhogs and transit workers? It's not going to help struggling firms on Wall Street, who would be hit with massive tax increases to fund the grandiose tax and spend schemes. It's not going to help businesses and residents who are struggling to make ends meet by paying out hundreds or thousands more in taxes, fare increases, or tolls annually. That's money can be spent by those businesses and individuals on other businesses and individuals, and not the black hole of incompetence that repeatedly marks the MTA's efforts to provide mass transit in the City and the tri-state region.

Lowlife of the Day

Stealing a memorial honoring a US Marine killed in Iraq in 2006? Are you kidding me?

Sgt. Matthew Fenton was killed in Iraq and the Little Ferry resident was honored with a statue erected at the local school, and a lowlife thug decided to steal the memorial to sell it for scrap:
The suspect, Vincent J. McManus, told police he took the statue to sell for scrap metal — only to discover later that it was made of glazed concrete, police said.

The statue of a soldier was recovered yesterday in McManus’ back yard, where it was hidden under a garbage can, Lt. Frank Novak said. The only damage is a broken finger, he added.

The statue was reported missing from its base in front of Memorial School on Sunday morning, Novak said, and Police Chief Ralph Verdi made its recovery the department’s top priority.

Officer Michael Hinchcliffe worked with school officials Monday to look at tapes from the building’s security camera.

Those tapes showed a man driving up to the school on Liberty Street in a dark-colored pickup truck about 11:45 p.m. Saturday and grabbing the three-foot-tall statue, which was not attached to its pedestal, Novak said.

Fenton, who attended Memorial School, was wounded in April 2006, when a suicide bomber attacked his Humvee in Al Anbar province in Iraq. The shrapnel left the 24-year-old with severe head trauma, and he died nine days later at National Naval Medical Center in Bethesda, Md., a day after receiving a Purple Heart. He never regained consciousness.
Fenton sought to become a Little Ferry police officer, and he was posthumously made a member of the Little Ferry police department.

Cold Play?

Musicians don't like it when their music gets plagiarized since it means they lose royalties from airplay. Joe Satriani, one of the premier rock guitarists and inspired many guitarists, is suing the band Coldplay over copying his song, If I Could Fly, as part of their Grammy nominated song Viva La Vida without attribution.

The Satriani song is here:


Coldplay's Viva La Vida is here:

Thursday, December 04, 2008

Just What the New York Metro Area Doesn't Need

With the massive budget problems facing New York City, New York State, New Jersey, and Connecticut, the solution to figuring out how to pay for mass transit is easy.

Raising taxes, imposing tolls, and otherwise taking the highest tax burdens in the nation and making them even higher at the worst possible time (not that there's ever a good time to raise taxes, but raising taxes during a recession is only guaranteed to make things even worse).

The MTA is saying that the best way to pay for its budget is to toll the East River bridges and to impose a nonresident tax.
The Metropolitan Transportation Authority needs to close an estimated $1.4 billion deficit in its operating budget next year and a $3 billion deficit by 2012. The agency is legally required to balance its budget.

A state commission's proposal, released Thursday, calls for boosting MTA fare revenue by 8 percent not the 23 percent previously proposed by the agency.

Under the state commission's plan, companies in a 12-county area would pay $330 in tax for every $100,000 they pay workers.

The MTA, a state agency, runs New York City's subways and public buses, the Metro-North Railroad and Long Island Rail Road, the Long Island Bus system and several bridges and tunnels.

However, the city-owned East River crossings are free.

It's unclear how any fare increase would be calculated across the transit system's various rates. They now range from $2 for a single bus or subway ride to $81 for an unlimited monthly pass.
Most fares went up in March, as did rates on the agency's commuter railroads and tolls on many of its bridges and tunnels.
So, let's do the math on a company that pays salaries of $100 million, which could be many large sized corporations, major law firms, particularly those associated with Wall Street. How many of them could afford to pay out still more in taxes? The government provided a bailout in the billions to AIG, and now the City wants AIG to pony up hundreds of thousands more in payroll taxes? Why would AIG want to stay in New York City? Payroll taxes are counterproductive and would send businesses to cheaper tax climates.

The Daily News provides some more details on the latest tax and toll plan.

Instead of trying to get costs under control, including pension obligations and shifting away from defined benefit plans to defined contribution plans, the idea is to soak taxpayers to keep the state workers and unions happy. Meanwhile, everyone else is being taxed into finding someplace cheaper to live. Let's also ignore the regressive nature of the tolls and fare increases, which hit those at the lowest income levels hardest.

Let Them Work It Out

The United Autoworkers Union has finally succumbed to reality and is now willing to discuss wage and benefit concessions to help keep the domestic automakers afloat. They've finally realized that they are a large reason why General Motors, Chrysler and Ford were failing miserably - unsustainable wage and benefits packages that made it next to impossible for the companies to ever turn a profit.

For their part, the automakers are promising concessions on executive compensation as well.

It's a start.

Let's see how the UAW and the automakers proceed. They don't need a bailout; they need a harsh dose of reality to spur them to do what should have been done years ago.

There's a reason that many are skeptical of the automakers claims these days, albeit that doesn't apparently include Sen. Chris Dodd, whose inability to smell the stench of impropriety should be legend by now given his rubber stamping of the financial meltdown and his Friends of Angelo mortgage benefit.

Let's not forget that spending billions on a failed industry to keep them afloat just a little while longer isn't solving anything, and it certainly isn't being fiscally responsible with US taxpayer dollars. All the claims that 10% of jobs are reliant on the automakers is overblown as well, given that reorganization of the companies would reduce liabilities and make the companies far more competitive and profitable down the line. That's why reorganizations under the bankruptcy code are allowed - it is creative destruction and allows for companies to improve their financial picture. Airlines have done this repeatedly and so too should the automakers. A bailout only puts a bandaid on a dire situation.

Of course, the automakers are still trying to influence the outcome through their lobbyists and donations to the tune of millions of dollars.

High Alert In India: UPDATE: Gunfight At New Delhi Airport?

India has issued warnings alerting people to the possibility of terrorists attempting to hijack aircraft in the country. That follows revelations that the Indian government failed to heed warnings about the Pakistani ISI training Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) terrorists to infiltrate by sea.

Three airports in particular are on high alert.
Indian authorities have put on high alert airports in the capital, New Delhi, the southeastern coastal city of Chennai and the southern city of Bangalore. The move followed a threat of possible attacks by militants who claimed last week's deadly assault on the Indian financial capital, Mumbai.

The previously unknown Deccan Mujahadeen group which claimed responsibility for last week's terrorist attacks on Mumbai reportedly threatened to attack the three airports this week between Wednesday and Sunday.

The threat was made in an e-mail sent form Saudi Arabia and received by Indira Gandhi Airport officials in New Delhi, news reports said.

"We are now on a high state of alert," airport spokesman Arun Arora, was quoted as saying by the media.

Indian officials were cited as saying there had been warnings of possible attacks using hijacked airlines, and Indian Air Force sources said fighter jets had also been put on stand-by.
Of course, LeT claims that they weren't behind the attacks and that they couldn't possibly be involved because they don't target civilians.
"We didn't do it. Lashkar doesn't believe in targeting civilians. It is not the first time India has blamed Pakistan. It was the intelligence failure that led to Mumbai attacks," LeT founder said in the interview.

Hafiz further added that India is using Pakistan as a punching bag to cover up its own failures and is not interested in a proper probe into the attacks.
It was the terrorists that led to the Mumbai attacks, and the intel failures only prevented the capture of those responsible for plotting mass carnage.

Pakistan continues to struggle against the Islamists in the frontier provinces, which see near daily attacks and civilian deaths at the hands of terrorists. Curiously, among those injured in the latest violence was a deputy of Baitullah Mehsud in an IED incident. The ongoing violence threatens NATO's supply lines in to Afghanistan, which is why Pakistan's handling of the Islamist threat is crucial.

UPDATE:
It's laughable that LeT's leader can claim that they don't target civilians, when it's part and parcel of their modus operandi to murder civilians in suicide bombing attacks. Sure, they attack military and security forces with alarming regularity, but another one of their tactics involves rounding up civilians and massacring them.

Also important to keep in mind is LeT's ties to al Qaeda; Abu Zubaydah was captured in a LeT safe house in Pakistan, and there are repeated reports suggesting operational assistance and ties between the two terror groups.

UPDATE:
There was good reason for those emergency alerts to be issued. Terrorists apparently opened fire at the international terminal at the New Delhi airport and security has killed six terrorists.
The British Broadcasting Corp. is reporting that six gunmen have been shot and killed by Indian security forces at New Delhi's main international airport.

The report on the BBC Web site Thursday was attributed to airport officials.

Airports in India went on high alert Thursday following fresh warnings of attacks as officials said India suspects two senior leaders of a banned Pakistani militant group orchestrated last week's deadly siege in Mumbai.
UPDATE:
Now, there's further concern that not all the explosives used by the terrorists in the weekend attacks have been accounted for.

UPDATE:
The BBC is now reporting that there were sharp sounds reported, but no gunfire. Everyone is clearly on edge, but how noises were reported to six people shot remains a mystery.

Death in a Time of Cholera and Economic Disaster

Cholera is a disease that is entirely preventable if good sanitation practices are used. It requires proper sanitation and a sound infrastructure.

Both are completely and utterly lacking in Zimbabwe as a result of Robert Mugabe's disastrous and ruinous economic policies. The country simply is disintegrating as a result of his socialist and redistributionist racist policies that have turned the breadbasket of Africa into a basket case.

550 people are dead, and thousands more are ill from the disease
.
Authorities in Zimbabwe have declared a cholera outbreak that has killed more than 550 people to be a national emergency, state media reports.

Health Minister David Parirenyatwa said hospitals were in urgent need of medicine, food and equipment and were suffering a critical staff shortage.

Zimbabwe is appealing for international help urgently to tackle the outbreak, which they had said was under control.
At the same time, Mugabe's policies are finally hitting his last bastion of support; the military.
Meanwhile 16 soldiers have been held over disorder in Harare, say reports.

The Zimbabwean police told the state-owned Herald newspaper that 10 of the soldiers were detained over a looting spree on Monday which broke out after the central bank said it did not have the money to pay defence force members queuing for wages.

The other six were part of a group that reportedly looted shops and battled riot police last week.

Zimbabwe's defence minister has blamed the disturbances on an unruly minority in the army, and promised to punish the culprits.
Of course, that same military decided to attack a bunch of doctors protesting the vile conditions within the country and pressed for more assistance from the government.

And the current economic woes have absolutely nothing to do with the credit crunch in the US. This is a wholly self-inflicted disaster of epic proportions with hyperinflation now reaching 231 million percent. Prior attempts to measure the inflation found a rate of 1-2 million percent, but this takes it to a whole new level. Zimbabweans simply can't print money fast enough between the time they walk out the door and they want to buy a piece of bread (if they can find it).

Something has to give here, and I suspect that the Mugabe government will find itself in a whole world of hurt before long. Of course, Zimbabweans will be suffering for years attempting to recover from Mugabe's disastrous reign of power.

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Quotas On the NY Court of Appeals?

Governor David Paterson has to nominate someone to fill retiring Chief Justice Judith Kaye's seat on the New York Court of Appeals by January 15, 2009. She retires effective December 31.

He's not happy that there were no women among the choices put together by the nonpartisan Commission on Judicial Nomination. In fact, he's looking for ways to circumvent the state constitution's requirements to choose from the list proffered.
Paterson says the selection process ``has to be called into question'' when the commission was unable to identify even one qualified woman.

While noting the recommended candidates are highly qualified and the state Constitution says the governor ``shall choose'' from the list, he says he won't disobey constitutional rules but will consider his options.

Cuomo says there is ``something wrong'' with the process.
There was a time when we were supposed to be judged by the content of our character and not the color of our skin. The same should apply to being gender neutral when determining who should be appointed to the highest court in New York. Yet, Gov. Paterson thinks that a woman should replace Justice Kaye.

Still, one can't help but wonder how exactly the Commission was able to overlook other judges in the state that could fill the slot capably. They proffered the following choices: Current Judges on the Court of Appeals, Judge Theodore Jones and Judge Eugene Pigott and the other choices are Justice Jonathan Lippman, Justice Steven Fisher, George Carpinello, Evan Davis, Esq., and Peter L. Zimroth.

Why wasn't A Gail Prudenti among those chosen? She's the presiding judge from the Second Department. Or Cheryl Chambers? Leslie Stein?

There are clearly women who are sitting on the Appellate courts throughout the state who have the experience and jurisprudence to sit on the bench, but are they the best qualified? The Commission thinks not. Does that require an investigation or methods to circumvent the constitutionally derived procedures?

Domestic Automakers Go Hat In Hand For Bailout

It's another day, and the automakers are trying to suck up to Congress by driving to Washington rather than flying on their private jets in order to get a massive bailout for their incompetence.

Too bad no one at the automakers actually says how they ever intend to make a profit. None of what they've said actually points to changing the fundamental structural failures that have plagued GM, Chrysler and Ford for years on end. None are willing to tackle the high fixed costs associated with the pension obligations and lagging sales. They are just holding their hands out and hoping that saying that a bailout is the patriotic thing to do will save union jobs. That comes even as sales figures continue to drop.

It's funny, but the automakers know that it's going to work. Nancy Pelosi and her fellow Democrats are already putting out feelers that a bailout is in the works.

Not for $25 billion, but for at least $34 billion.

It's for the union jobs, you see. They'll claim that 10% of the American workforce relies in some fashion on automaker jobs. Let's just ignore the part about the competitive imbalance between GM, Ford and Chrysler and how Honda, BMW, Toyota, and other foreign automakers are able to produce high quality vehicles at a fraction of the cost of the smallish three because union jobs don't sap the bottom line, they don't have the overhead of maintaining thousands of showrooms for products that aren't moving, and that the other automakers have managed to hold their own in the downturn in the market.

GM's proposals wouldn't even pass basic MBA accounting 101
. They lack the basic details that show that GM understands the structural defects within the company and what they must do to change them.
But the restructuring plan comes up short on the most fundamental question. Will this company actually make money? Just look at the details — or what details are lacking.

GM says it plans to focus on only four brands. So why does the number of models only drop from 48 to 40?

GM has 6,600 dealers, which it says it will cut to 4,700 by 2012. Honda has 1,300 dealers. Even Ford has only 4,100 — which it will cut further.

And nowhere in the document does GM lay out, year by year, its own projected market share. This is perhaps the most critical part of any business plan. The kind of thing you learn in the first day of business school.

Turn to Exhibit B-1 — and you find something interesting. It is only in an appendix entry — and not stated explicitly. GM appears to have changed its market share assumption for 2009 GM U.S. volume from 20.6% a year ago to 22.5% today.

In this environment, it seems strange that GM is actually increasing its market share assumptions. And car business is all about volumes.
In GM's case, they have the additional problem of GMAC and the failure of the credit market. GM used GMAC to pad its bottom line for years, and when the credit market went South, so too did GM's overall bottom line.

DJ Drummond takes apart the financial picture at GM, and it's uglier than you can possibly imagine. In fact, he's making the case that GM has been violating GAAP for years by shifting income and balance sheets to make it appear that the company was better off than it really was. He also tackles the situation at Ford and Chrysler, which are in nearly as bad shape.

All in all, it makes for a compelling case for not giving the automakers one cent. They've destroyed their own companies through negligence, incompetence, and bad business judgment that borders on the criminal.

Giants Sack Burress; Hospital Sacks Doc Who Treated Him

The New York Giants did the right thing yesterday by suspending troubled star wide receiver Plaxico Burress. Burress was suspended for the rest of the season, and his career with the Giants is likely over. The last thing that the Giants need is a criminal headache, and that's what they got in Burress, and that threatens to derail Antonio Pierce who was with Burress when Burress shot himself in the leg.

Meanwhile, the doctor who treated Burress has been suspended by the hospital for failing to follow policy. The Manhattan District Attorney's office is investigating the Giants, the New York-Presbyterian Hospital Weill Cornell Medical Center and the principals involved to determine who knew and why no one informed the police of the gunshot injury.
The Giants suspended superstar Plaxico Burress for the rest of the season yesterday, ending any chance for the troubled wide receiver to help his teammates repeat as Super Bowl champs.

Burress, who shot himself in the leg while drinking in a Manhattan nightclub Saturday morning, is ineligible to play in the team's remaining four games or the postseason.

"This is an important time for him to take care of his body and heal up, and also deal with the very serious legal consequences and other issues in his life," Giants President John Mara said.

Hours before the team disciplined Burress, the Manhattan district attorney vowed to investigate the alleged coverup of the Giants star's gunshot wound.

"We got the gun, we got the wound, but who knew and who failed [to report the injury] is part of the investigation," said District Attorney Robert Morgenthau, who will probe why neither the Giants nor New York-Presbyterian Hospital Weill Cornell notified police about the shooting

(snip)

The hospital suspended emergency room doctor Josyann Abisaab for failing to report the wound, sources said.

"Not reporting a gunshot wound is a clear violation of our policies and procedures," said Weill Cornell spokeswoman Kathleen Robinson, who said the hospital was investigating whether other staffers will be disciplined.

Abisaab, 44, could not be reached for comment. A 1989 graduate of the University of Rochester School of Medicine, she has no history of state disciplinary action.
There are reasons why policy requires reporting gunshot wounds, even if they are accidentally inflicted because of the potential for uncovering criminal activities in the process.

Burress faces criminal charges that could lead to a lengthy stay in prison - 3.5 to 15 years on two counts. Some suspect that Burress was carrying his gun after learning that a teammate, Steve Smith, was held up at gunpoint last week in Clifton in front of his home.

Defusing the Mumbai Situation

The security situation in Mumbai remains tenuous at best as a bomb was discovered and defused at a Mumbai rail station today among the baggage left following the terror attacks last week. That can't be good news for Mumbai law enforcement, which is already reeling from their inability to contain the massive terror attacks over the weekend that exposed serious flaws in the emergency response.

Thankfully, they managed to discover and defuse the bombs today.
Police in Mumbai found explosives Wednesday hidden in a bag left behind last week at the city's train station at the start of a three-day rampage by Islamist militants.

While searching 150 bags at the station, police found one that looked suspicious and called the bomb squad. They found two bombs of 8.8 pounds each inside and defused them, said Assistant Commissioner of Police Bapu Domre.

The report came after Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice arrived in India as part of an effort to defuse escalating regional tensions in the wake of last week's three-day terrorist attack that killed 171 people in India's financial capital.
Why did it take so long for emergency crews to check through all those bags left behind? You would think that the first thing that law enforcement should have done is sweep the entire area for additional bombs and weapons to prevent them from potentially going off while the investigation proceeded.

Sec. State Rice is trying to walk a delicate line between India and Pakistan, cajoling and pushing Pakistan to release more information on the attackers and to keep the situation under control. India wants Pakistan to hand over 20 terrorists and persons of interest, but Pakistan is saying that they want to prosecute these people if they're involved:
The Indian government, already facing accusations of security and intelligence failures, has demanded that Pakistan take action against those responsible and asked that 20 suspected terrorists believed living in the country be handed over.

However, Pakistani President Asif Zardari said any of the 20 suspects wanted by India would be tried in Pakistan if there is evidence of wrongdoing.

Zardari said he would "look into all the possibility of any proof" about the suspects sought by India and insisted they would be dealt with under Pakistani law.

"At the moment, these are just names of individuals — no proof and no investigation," he said Tuesday in an interview with CNN's Larry King. "If we had the proof, we would try them in our courts and we would try them in our land and we would sentence them."
That's even as Pakistan and NATO face an ongoing threat from the Islamists and Taliban that continue harassing NATO convoys to Afghanistan. Pakistan is between a rock and a hard place as they've spend years placating and playing to the Islamists and the Islamists have had free reign in the frontier provinces and have set up a parallel existence whereby they openly train young men to be jihadis at madrassas throughout the country. Any attempt to crack down on the Islamists and the terrorists who carried out the Mumbai attacks will necessarily affect the ability of the government to govern, and Zardari will fall into the same trap that Pervez Musharraf did before him - alternating between appeasement and crackdown to remain in power. Zardari will do just enough to muddle along, but it means that the terrorists will continue to find Pakistan an inviting safe haven to train and plot future attacks.

UPDATE:
The Indian government has also announced who they believe was behind the attacks.
A terrorist chieftain in Pakistan masterminded the Mumbai massacre and kept in touch with the 10 attackers by satellite phone, Indian police believe.

They said Yusuf Muzammil, head of anti-Indian terror operations for the notorious Lashkar-e-Taibe, or LeT group, was identified by the only one of the 10 Mumbai attackers to survive, The Wall Street Journal reported.

His claim was backed up by a satellite phone left behind by the attackers in the fishing trawler they hijacked to reach Mumbai.

The phone's records showed calls were made to Muzammil and four other LeT henchmen in the two days before the slaughter.

India is demanding that Pakistan hand over Muzammil and 19 others suspected of plotting the slaughter that killed 171 people in India's financial capital last week.

But Pakistan has not responded to the demand, which threatens to escalate the powderkeg standoff.
UPDATE:
The Times of India notes that the US warns that if Pakistan doesn't go after terrorists and their training camps, not only will the US continue its practice of carrying out airstrikes against terrorists, but that it would back India should it contemplate actions of its own:
The United States has set the stage for punitive internationally-backed strikes by India against terrorist camps in Pakistan if Islamabad does not act first to dismantle them by rejecting President Zardari’s alibi that non-state actors were responsible for the last week’s carnage in Mumbai.

The game-changer, outlined by Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, among others, robs Islamabad of the fig leaf that Zardari used in his interview on Larry King Live that ''stateless actors'' are holding the whole world hostage and Pakistan was not to blame. Rice said in effect that the excuse does not absolve Pakistan responsibility for terrorist acts that originate from its territory,“ Rice said.

Although US officials have not outright approved immediate punitive Indian strikes against terrorist targets in Pakistan, it is clear Rice has bought time for Islamabad to prove its bonafides. Pakistan has a ''special responsibility'' and needs to act ''urgently'' she said, even as India has indicated it will wait for a Pakistani response to its demands before any punitive action.

In Washington, experts pressed the administration to expand the scope of punitive strikes to an international level to avoid making it an India-Pakistan issue, particularly since the death toll included citizens of ten countries.

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Zimbabwe's Hell

Zimbabweans can thank none other than Robert Mugabe for the hell on earth that Mugabe's economic policies have wrought.
Authorities turned off the taps in Zimbabwe's capital again this week because they had run out of purifying chemicals - even as a cholera epidemic threatened the country, claiming hundreds of lives since August.

The crisis is the latest chapter in the collapse of this once-vibrant nation. President Robert Mugabe, who has ruled for 28 years, has refused to leave office following disputed elections in March. And a power-sharing deal worked out with the opposition has been deadlocked for weeks over how to divvy up Cabinet posts.

In the township of Mabvuku, where residents have dug shallow wells in open ground, people say they know not boiling the water can make them sick, but they have no choice. There is no electricity, and wood, charcoal or other fuel to build fires is scarce and so expensive it is out of reach for most people.

"We are afraid, but there is no solution. Most of the time the electricity is not available so we just use the water," one resident, Naison Chakwicha, told AP Television News.

In the western Harare suburb of Mbare, Anna Marimbe said she had traced the deaths last week of two neighbor children to the stinking open drains where they used to play.

Residents of Chitungwiza, a densely populated township 15 miles south of Harare, sued the National Water Authority last week, saying they had been without running water for 13 months, causing an outbreak of cholera and leading to deaths.
This is a country where there was running water and proper sanitation. Mugabe's rule has decimated the infrastructure and basic services, and they are in shambles as Mugabe continues to put his personal power ahead of all else, including the survival of the Zimbabweans themselves.

Surprising Statistic of the Day

I knew that New York City was one of the most restrictive environments in which to lawfully carry firearms, but I didn't think it was that restrictive.

New York City is home to 8 million people.

Only 37,000 are licensed to carry firearms in the City. That works out to 0.2% [fixed thanks to shout out from anonymous emailer] (excluding former law enforcement officers and security guards) of the population that are entitled to possess firearms in all of New York City.

It's astounding to believe that the City considers a fraction of a percent trustworthy to carry firearms or obtain firearms for their homes. While the City is immeasurably safer now than it has been in decades, one has to wonder whether the city would have been safer still if the City were not so restrictive on its firearm policy.

The Mumbai Terror Blame Game

The media is busy casting about for someone to blame in the deadly Mumbai terror attacks. They'll focus on the failings of law enforcement, the Indian government, and everyone but those on which responsibility for the attacks rests - the terrorists themselves (that is if they bother to call them terrorists at all; often they will refer to them as gunmen or militants).

That always seems to get lost in the blame game.

Law enforcement shouldn't get blamed for the attacks, but rather castigated for being unprepared to handle such an emergency situation and that a city of 13 million people didn't have a special weapons and tactics police group to handle such incidents is unforgivable.

That's a situation that can be corrected with due diligence and can help prevent future attacks as well as respond to future attacks in a far more decisive and swift manner that will reduce the chances of a mass casualty incident.

India also apparently didn't heed two US warnings over a possible attack according to CNN:
U.S. intelligence indicated that a group might enter the country by water and launch an attack on Mumbai, said the source, who refused to be identified due to the ongoing investigation into the attacks and the sensitivity of the information.

Indian security forces have confirmed to CNN that not only did U.S. officials warn them of a water-borne attack in Mumbai -- they were told twice. The area entered a higher state of alert for a week, including tightened security measures at hotels, but those efforts were eventually reduced, Indian officials said.

Local fisherman in Mumbai said they witnessed a group of gunmen dock their boat Wednesday night, before heading toward the busy causeway.
Again, intel failures and the inability to deal with intel in a time sensitive manner are issues that can be addressed and corrected, but that is a response to those who carry out the terrorism, not on whom blame can be assigned for the attacks.

India is demanding that Pakistan hand over 20 terrorists, including members of Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT).
At the top the list are Laskhar-e-Taiba leader Hafiz Saeed, Jaish-e-Mohammed leader Maulana Masood Azhar, and mafia and terror kingpin Dawood Ibrahim. The Long War Journal has obtained the names of several other senior terrorist leaders wanted by the Indian Government.

The demands were made during a meeting between Indian Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee and Pakistan’s High Commissioner to India Shahid Malik yesterday. The Indian foreign minister summoned Malik to the ministry and registered an official diplomatic protest with Pakistan.

"We have in our demarche asked for the arrest and handover of those persons who are settled in Pakistan and who are fugitive of Indian law," Mukherjee told The Times of India, noting India "will await" a response from Pakistan.
LeT is closely aligned with al Qaeda, and the Pakistani ISI has been known to support the terrorist group as well.

The terrorists received training and tactics courtesy of their stay in terror camps operating in Pakistan. That's simply intolerable and must be addressed by the Pakistani government. Their ongoing failure to stop the indoctrination of thousands into Islamist madrassas that call for jihad is tantamount to condoning such activities and the ISI helps facilitate those activities.

Pakistan knows what's at stake should the trail lead back to Pakistan's official door - either through inaction or assistance by the ISI (rogue or otherwise), and are hoping to defuse the situation with a joint investigation. That's probably in the best interests of both India and Pakistan, but both countries have to be willing to let the investigation go where it needs to - and if the outcome shows Pakistani complicity, Pakistan must be willing to accept responsibility. Likewise, if the attacks show no complicity, the Indian government must respect that as well.

At this point, the Indian investigation suggests that the terrorists had ex-military training although the nationality of the training isn't being released:
All the 10 terrorists, suspected to have been involved in the Mumbai attacks, were trained by ex-army personnel even as the lone arrested
terrorist has admitted to being a Pakistani, the police on Tuesday said.

Ajmal Amin Kamal, the only terrorist of the group of ten caught alive, has admitted he is a Pakistani and hailed from the Punjab province of Pakistan, Mumbai Police Commissioner Hasan Gafoor said.

"The group of ten had come from Karachi by ship, flew an SOS flag in international waters and then hijacked a trawler which they used to come near Mumbai's shores," Gafoor said.

The group of ten had been trained by former army personnel, some for over a year, Gafoor said, refusing to comment on the nationality of the army personnel.

When asked if there was any evidence of Pakistan's involvement in the attacks, Gafoor said, "At the moment investigations are on and if we have proof we shall present it."

He said there was no evidence of local persons involved in the attacks.

Meanwhile, the sole surviving terrorist captured following the attacks claims that his father sold him into LeT. I guess free will doesn't even enter his consciousness and that he had no problem going out and murdering hundreds of people - with the intention of killing thousands in the name of jihad. He's looking for a reason to excuse his heinous actions, but there are none. He's a stone cold murderous bastard.

Several terrorists are still believed to be at large.

Pirates Continue Attacks On Shipping Off Somalia

The pirates continue to act as though they own the seas. They continue to attack shipping, including a US cruise ship, the M/S Nautica, which was sailing on a 32-day cruise with destinations in Asia, Africa and Europe.
The liner, carrying 656 international passengers and 399 crew members, was sailing through the pirate-infested Gulf of Aden on Sunday when it encountered six bandits in two speedboats, said Noel Choong who heads the International Maritime Bureau's piracy reporting center in Malaysia.

The pirates fired at the passenger liner but the larger boat was faster than the pirates' vessels, Choong said.

"It is very fortunate that the liner managed to escape," he said, urging all ships to remain vigilant in the area.

The U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet, based in Bahrain, said it was aware of the failed hijacking but did not have further details.

Ship owner Oceania Cruises Inc. identified the vessel as the M/S Nautica.

In a statement on its Web site, the company said pirates fired eight rifle shots at the liner, but that the ship's captain increased speed and managed to outrun the skiffs.

All passengers and crew are safe and there was no damage to the vessel, it said.

The Nautica was on a 32-day cruise from Rome to Singapore, with stops at ports in Italy, Egypt, Oman, Dubai, India, Malaysia and Thailand, the Web site said. Based on that schedule, the liner was headed from Egypt to Oman when it was attacked.
The only thing that will end the piracy once and for all is to eliminate the pirates safe havens in Somalia, and to destroy the boats the pirates are using to carry out their attacks. That means that the countries that are too busy worrying about the legalities of what would happen if they capture pirates have to start worrying more about the ongoing threat to shipping and the lives of those on board any ship that attempts to transit the waters off Somalia or any of the other active pirate locales.

Meanwhile, other groups are attempting to negotiate ransoms for the releases of shipping. That's a strategy that is disastrous in intent and consequences. The pirates will be richly rewarded for their actions, even though international law is on the side of all law abiding nations to eliminate piracy. Each time a ransom is paid, the pirates will simply see that as a reason to go and attack still more ships in the hopes of obtaining yet another pay day.

The pirates themselves get interviewed and claim that there's no way to stop them.
Somalis are so desperate to survive that attacks on merchant shipping in the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean will not stop, a pirate leader promises.

"The pirates are living between life and death," said the pirate leader, identified by only one name, Boyah. "Who can stop them? Americans and British all put together cannot do anything."

The interview with the pirate was conducted in late August by journalists employed by the Somali news organization Garowe. The complete interview was provided to CNN last week and provides a glimpse of why piracy has been so hard to control in the region.


Sure there is. Blockade the Somali coast and allow the navies of the world to destroy any pirate ships that attempt to cross it. At the same time, those same navies should continue to move towards the ports where the pirates operate from and conduct operations to destroy the boats used. Eliminate the means for the pirates to operate, and the piracy will end. What is sadly lacking is the willpower to make this happen.

UPDATE:
Jane at The Jawa Report has found a map that shows the density of pirate attacks, and surprisingly enough, the bulk are not off the Somali coast as one would expect, but actually are far closer to the Yemeni coastline, which is where the main shipping channels are located. Eaglespeak has additional analysis of the map.

Court Dissolves Thai Government After Finding Rampant Fraud In Elections

The Thai Supreme Court has dissolved the recently elected government as a result of finding widespread fraud in how the party came to power.
Somchai's People's Power Party, the Machima Thipatai party and the Chart Thai party were found guilty of committing fraud in the December 2007 elections that brought the coalition to power.

"Dishonest political parties undermine Thailand's democratic system," said Court President Chat Chalavorn.

The ruling sends Somchai and 59 executives of the three parties into political exile and bars them from politics for five years. Of the 59, 24 are lawmakers who will also have to resign their parliamentary seats.

But lawmakers of the three dissolved parties who escaped the ban can join other parties, try to cobble together a new coalition then choose a new prime minister.

Until then, Deputy Prime Minister Chaowarat Chandeerakul will become the caretaker prime minister, said Suparak Nakboonnam, a government spokeswoman. She said parliament will have to pick a new prime minister within 30 days.

Despite the appearance of a smooth political transition, the ruling is expected to widen the dangerous rift in Thai society that many fear could lead to violence between pro- and anti-government groups.
Thailand has been wracked by violence and protests for weeks, with the problem becoming more intense in recent days as protests have shut down airports and threatened to shut down trade altogether.

While this latest news will bolster the opposition, those supporters of the government may not give up so easily and may carry out retaliatory violence.

It's also the second time in three months that the court has dissolved the government and removed the Prime Minister:
Tuesday's ruling by the court is the second time in three months it has removed a prime minister from the PPP, which took office after elections in December 2007.

The court also dissolved two of the PPP's coalition partners and barred more than 30 other PPP officials from public office over allegations of vote-rigging.

The People's Alliance for Democracy accuses Somchai of leading a proxy government for his brother-in-law, ex-Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, who was ousted in a 2006 coup.

Thaksin returned to Thailand after the PPP victory in 2007, but fled the country again just as he was to appear in a corruption case against him.

Somchai himself has been avoiding the capital, choosing instead to stay in the northern city of Chiang Mai.


All of this is cast against the backdrop of still ongoing Islamist violence in Southern Thailand.

Monday, December 01, 2008

The Media Just Loves A Great Depression Story

The media has its memes and isn't willing to stray from them for even an instant. They believe that the world is coming to an end and that the economy is going to completely implode into a Great Depression. These kinds of stories continue to circulate on a near daily basis, and the fact is that the media has been getting soundbites from the ill informed and just plain clueless claiming that we were already in a depression months ago.

The Record ran this story today about how some folks who lived through the real Great Depression are wondering if we're heading into another depression.
Economists are pretty much unanimous that we are now in a recession. Unemployment has hit levels not seen in 25 years. Social services are stretched to the limit, conjuring up memories of the Great Depression.

People are now looking back to the nation's history 80 years ago and wondering, could it happen again?

One thing's for sure: Talking to people who were alive during the 1930s won't necessarily make you feel better. In interviews conducted with Passaic County residents last week, people over the age of 80 said conditions during the Great Depression were often grim but that life was manageable. They had mixed feelings on whether today's conditions are as bad — or could get as bad.
Unemployment is still below historical averages and yet we're supposed to believe that the Dust Bowl and Grapes of Wrath are just over the horizon?

At the same time, we've got numerous reports suggesting that retailers did pretty good for the opening weekend of the holiday season. In fact, they were claiming that sales were up slightly over last year. If this was truly the depression the so-called experts claimed, wouldn't sales have dropped off precipitously from last year and people would not be spending even if there was pent up demand for all manner of items? In fact, why is it that people are still rushing out to buy large LCD and plasma screen televisions that cost upwards of $750? It's not like they need them. If times are so tough, where are they getting the money to do this stuff, especially when credit is supposed to be much harder to get?

Look, the toxic paper crisis is indeed a mess and the government got us into it as a result of lousy economic, fiscal and social policies that claimed that affordable housing was a top priority. Increasing the number of homeowners was considered all important, ignoring the ability of those people to ever repay their obligations. When the real estate markets began their correction, all the assumptions got thrown out the window and exposed real weaknesses in the affordable housing manta - including that there was no oversight of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Congress abdicated its oversight and pushed for more subprime borrowing even though those people lacked the capacity to repay the moment interest rates adjusted upwards. The cost for this mess is still being tabulated, but it's in to the trillions of dollars.

That's anything but affordable.

Trying to unfreeze the credit markets will help get the markets going and improve consumer confidence, but the government pushing the markets in unnatural directions will only further distort the marketplace and delay the recovery as industry after industry considers that they are due for a bailout as well, allowing them to gain a piece of taxpayer dollars despite their own multiple failures of business judgment.

Pushing for higher taxes and increased government spending will not solve the economic problems. Reducing government spending and letting taxpayers keep more of their own money so that they can spend it as they see fit is the only real solution to this mess.

UPDATE:
One outfit says that we've been in a recession since December 2007. That's possible, but not according to government data, which requires two consecutive quarters of negative growth - not merely declining growth.
The GDP contracted by 0.2 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2007, but that that drop was followed growth in the first two quarters of this year, partially boosted by the distribution of millions of economic stimulus payments.

However, employment, one of the measurements tracked by the NBER, has been falling since January.

The NBER decision means that the economic expansion lasted from November 2001 until December 2007. Economic expansions peak and recessions begin in the same month, according to the NBER's dating methods. Founded in 1920, the NBER has more than 1,000 university professors and researchers who act as bureau associates, studying how the economy works.
So, NBER is saying that we have to ignore the fact that there were two quarters of intervening growth between 4Q 2007 and 3Q 2008 in order to reach their conclusion that we've been in a recession since 2007. That's playing with statistics and distorting the definitions of recession. Maintaining a rigorous definition of recession would mean that we have not yet even entered a recession, although if the numbers for the fourth quarter of 2008 show a downturn, it would finally show that the recession has been underway not since 2007, but since mid 2008. Perhaps some will call this a distinction without a difference, but facts matter. All too frequently the media and so-called experts have sought to distort the picture of the state of the economy and the news doesn't exactly match with what the facts show.

Pardon Me

As President George Bush closes out his term in office, the question of who he might be willing to extend pardons to is being raised.
Some high-profile convicts past and present are among more than 2,000 people asking President George W. Bush to pardon them or commute their prison sentences before he leaves office.

Junk-bond king Michael Milken, media mogul Conrad Black and American-born Taliban soldier John Walker Lindh have applied to the Justice Department seeking official forgiveness.

But with Bush's term ending Jan. 20, some lawyers are lobbying the White House directly to pardon their clients. That raises the possibility that the president could excuse scores of people, including some who have not been charged, to protect them from future accusations, such as former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales or star baseball pitcher Roger Clemens.

Those who have worked with Bush predict that will not happen. The White House has declined to comment on upcoming pardons.

"I would expect the president's conservative approach to executive pardons to continue through the remainder of his term," said Helgi C. Walker, a former Bush associate White House counsel.

"There would also be a concern about avoiding any appearance of impropriety in the waning days of his administration _ i.e. some sort of pardon free-for-all," Walker said. "I don't think that is anything that is going to happen on this president's watch."

Last week, Bush issued 14 pardons and commuted two sentences _ all for small-time crimes such as minor drug offenses, tax evasion and unauthorized use of food stamps. That brought his eight-year total to 171 pardons and eight commutations granted.

That is less than half as many as President Bill Clinton or President Ronald Reagan issued. Both were two-term presidents, like Bush.
Bush has already shown himself to be stingy with his pardon/commutation power. I don't see that changing either, and although there will be a flurry of pardons, I don't expect to see the kind of quid pro quo engaged in by Bush's predecessor, Bill Clinton.

Jammie points out that there are quite a few high profile individuals seeking reductions in sentences or pardons, including John Walker Lindh, the American Taliban.

Anyone who meets the qualifications and fills out the necessary forms can have their cases reviewed by the Office of Pardon Attorney, but that doesn't mean that they have a chance of success.

The statistics bear out that Bush isn't going to issue pardons like they were candy. There is no chance that Bush is going to issue a pardon to the likes of Lindh.

Still unlikely is that President Bush would issue pardons preemptively to members of his Administration or the CIA or US Armed Forces for actions taken during the Global War on Terror to avoid prosecutions by the incoming administration.

I give roughly even odds that he might commute the sentence of Randy "Duke" Cunningham, a disgraced Republican Congressman who was convicted of corruption charges, but who was a highly decorated Vietnam War hero. Less likely is that he'd commute the sentences of Milken or Black.

Much more likely is a pardon or commutation of the sentences of former U.S. Border Patrol agents Ignacio Ramos and agent Jose Compean, who were convicted of shooting a drug smuggler in 2005 and trying to cover it up.

Chavez Seeks Unlimited Reelections As Economy Crashes Around Him

Give [T]hugo Chavez credit. Once he's picked out a course of action, nothing is going to stop him from attempting to bring it to fruition. In his case, it's not only seeking totalitarian powers and a lifetime presidency, but destroying the economy of Venezuela and its neighbors through socialism and price controls.

Chavez is limited from running for reelection after 2013, but that's not stopping him from trying to get the laws changed.
Chavez, who was first elected in 1998, is barred from running again when his current term expires in 2013. He sought to abolish term limits last year, but Venezuelan voters rejected the bid, voting down a package of proposed constitutional changes.

"Last year, when we lost the referendum, I said I should accept the majority's decision," the former paratroop commander told a crowd of red-clad government supporters at a rally in Caracas. But now, he added, "I say you were right: Chavez will not go."

Any new attempt at a reform, which must be approved in a nationwide referendum, would open a new front for tensions between government-backers and their rivals — many of whom warn that Chavez wants to be president for life.

Opposition leader Gerardo Blyde said Chavez's plan to end presidential term limits would be overwhelmingly defeated.
At the same time, Chavez's economic policies are having a disastrous spillover effect into Colombia. Much of the recent growth in Venezuela's economy was due to oil revenue, and with the decline in oil prices, Venezuela simply doesn't have money to burn and Colombia's economy is reliant on Venezuela even as they are rivals:
That boom, part of a seven-fold surge in Colombian exports to its northern neighbor that helped drive the peso to a nine- year high in June, is coming to an end as Venezuela’s oil-driven economic expansion careens toward a bust.

“Time to tighten the belt,” says Hernandez, whose company, Marroquinera SA, has been exporting to Venezuela since 1985.

The looming slowdown in trade will deepen the peso’s 30 percent slide against the dollar since mid-June and make it the worst-performing currency in Latin America over the next year, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. say. When Venezuela last fell into a recession, in 2002, Colombian shipments to its second-biggest trading partner sank 38 percent, helping spark a 21 percent rout in the peso.

There’s going to be “a major drop in Venezuelan demand for Colombian products,” said Boris Segura, a Latin America economist at Morgan Stanley in New York. “That’s a clear and imminent risk.”
That's one of the reasons that Colombia needs to have closer trade ties with the US; not only to bolster US ties in Latin America, but to thwart Chavez's ambitions for the region.

New Technologies And Developing Research Improve Cancer Treatments

It used to be that if you had cancer and radiation was the primary means of treatment, the entire body was exposed to high doses. That meant that healthy tissue was exposed along with the cancerous tissues, causing significant side effects.

In the past few years, targeting cancerous tumors has gotten more sophisticated so that the radiation would hit only the tumor. That vastly reduces the amount of side effects to the point where the major side effect is tiredness.

Those targeted treatments, which often occur using machines with trade names like Cyberknife, would take 10-20 minutes per session.

Now, a new machine can cut the time to 75 seconds.
The RapidArc machine rotates 360 degrees around the patient, creating a 3-D model for delivery of the radiation to cancerous tissue only. The less time a patient spends on the table, the less likely it is that healthy tissue will be radiated.

"I don't know how people stay for 25 or 30 minutes," said the elderly patient, who requested anonymity.

He's had seven of 42 radiation sessions, each time being in and out in five minutes. Typical radiation treatments involve the same number of sessions.

St. Vincent's is the first in the city to use the device, whose maker, Varian Medical Systems, said about 10 other hospitals had expressed interest.
It sounds like you have to trade off time exposed per session for the number of sessions, but it's a major improvement over earlier treatments. The trick is to balance the amount of radiation and focus it on the tumors as much as possible without damaging nearby healthy tissue and to do it in the least amount of time.

Meanwhile, a Florida high school student may have found a possible way to cure colon cancer.
For his science project last fall, [Kyle] Jones tested the effects of conjugated linoleic acid, known as CLA, an amino acid found mostly in meat and dairy products, on human colon cancer at M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in Orlando.

His results showed that up to 90 percent of the colon cancer cells were killed within three days, indicating that the chemical properties of CLA could possibly be used as an effective treatment for colon cancer.


“It surprised me mainly how devastating it was to the cancer cells,” he said.

Jones has not continued his research since the initial project was completed, but researchers at M.D. Anderson Cancer Center are conducting more extensive studies on CLA as well as other potential cancer therapeutics. Jones said it would take several years before any sufficient results are obtained.
MD Anderson Cancer Center in Texas is one of the premier cancer research institutions in the world, and it would be amazing if Kyle Jones had found the key to curing colon cancer, which kills 655,000 worldwide annually.

Sunday, November 30, 2008

A Giant Headache

Even as the New York Giants continue to dominate their opponents on the field, a major off the field distraction continues to fester in the form of Plaxico Burress. The troubled star wide receiver has been injured for most of the season, but things turned downright bizarre on Friday.

Actually, bizarre doesn't quite cover it.

Criminal is more like it.
Plaxico Burress plans to turn himself in to police Monday morning in New York City and plead not guilty to criminal possession of a weapon, his lawyer said.

Benjamin Brafman wrote in an e-mail to The Associated Press on Sunday that he was advised the New York Giants’ star receiver will be charged after accidentally shooting himself in the right thigh.

“I do not expect that Mr. Burress will make a statement,” Brafman wrote.

He met with Burress for about an hour Sunday at the player’s home in New Jersey.

“I would ask that his fans, the Giants and the media withhold judgment in this matter until all of the facts have been disclosed,” Brafman wrote to the AP.

Brafman is a well-known criminal lawyer who has defended mobsters and other high-profile figures, including hip-hop impresario Sean “Diddy” Combs on a bribery and gun possession charge in 2001.
Burress is lucky that he only managed to shoot himself in the leg in a non-life threatening injury. He just as easily could have shot and killed someone in the club with an unregistered firearm. Burress also doesn't have a New York concealed carry permit and his Florida license (which wouldn't be recognized in New York in any event) expired in May.

What was he doing with the firearm in the club in the first place? Why did he feel the need to start unloading the handgun while drinking a glass of wine? You can't get any more reckless than that while handling firearms (okay, there are a few ways, but drinking and firearms definitely do not mix).

Local papers are all screaming for the Giants to send Burress packing. I can't blame them either. He's not only a distraction, but he's broken the law and put himself and others in jeopardy with his actions. The NFL will have to consider disciplinary actions as will the team.

UPDATE:
A bad situation is just about to get worse. Antonio Pierce, one of the defensive leaders on the team, was apparently involved in the incident as well. He was with Burress at the time of the shooting. Also, The Record provides a different account of how the shooting occurred. According to this version, the gun Burress was carrying somehow slipped down his pants and discharged into his thigh and Pierce came to his assistance and began berating Burress for packing a firearm. Burress then pleaded not to get the police and ambulances involved.
According to the Daily News: "The mercurial Giant was waved inside the crowded Latin-themed club on Lexington Ave. about midnight. He downed several drinks, making already jittery security guards more nervous about his weapon.

"As Burress was being led into a VIP area, with a drink in his hand, the gun slipped down his pants leg. He reached for the weapon, but fumbled it and it went off, sources said," the News reported." The bullet tore through Burress' already injured right thigh, police said.

...

Pierce, 30, rushed to his bleeding teammate and applied pressure to the wound as Burress screamed in pain amid the hip-hop beats piping through the club, sources said. As he worked to slow the bleeding, Pierce berated Burress for bringing a loaded handgun into a club.

Panicking, Burress told his teammate not to call 911 for an ambulance, sources said.

Pierce helped the bloodied receiver out of the club before taking off with the gun and stashing it somewhere in New Jersey, sources said. A Giants representative left Washington, where the Giants are playing the Redskins this afternoon, to retrieve the gun for investigators.